Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 95.194828 105.258960 115.514230 126.721100 138.598315 150.787002 164.216628
2026-01-11 80.100393 95.155438 111.165411 129.351331 149.330905 170.513619 194.570944
2026-01-18 68.145267 86.728785 107.297492 131.486760 158.898278 188.758478 223.507995
2026-01-25 54.372319 74.557716 97.862379 126.247629 159.399794 196.447838 240.537028
2026-02-01 44.490923 65.681670 91.163041 123.222319 161.687591 205.634743 258.931413
2026-02-08 37.396029 59.312368 86.701501 122.193092 165.799650 216.576693 279.142012
2026-02-15 32.515055 55.156489 84.466672 123.449220 172.330080 230.163093 302.360668
2026-02-22 29.606711 53.265785 84.831168 127.729193 182.413880 247.938486 330.580548
2026-03-01 26.284599 50.381643 83.569890 129.680976 189.440208 261.944627 354.305946
2026-03-08 22.540442 46.419469 80.484662 128.948541 192.853615 271.392248 372.460609
2026-03-15 20.125448 44.175535 79.547981 130.885166 199.551748 284.828179 395.463921
2026-03-22 18.618796 43.185597 80.263981 134.969986 208.994198 301.696390 422.745305
2026-03-29 16.675780 41.300952 79.602838 137.179974 216.102409 315.855265 447.034204
2026-04-05 15.214311 40.065821 79.798584 140.530277 224.725370 331.997319 473.923175
2026-04-12 13.724349 38.588955 79.501749 143.107625 232.294886 346.832601 499.279498
2026-04-19 10.785272 33.937554 73.900206 137.751281 228.902233 347.416575 506.615327
2026-04-26 8.696737 30.552677 70.015618 134.647763 228.386887 351.582205 518.383955
2026-05-03 7.237342 28.200645 67.627285 133.611070 230.616221 359.264290 534.604959
2026-05-10 6.312411 26.873093 66.867134 134.969904 236.164119 371.317681 556.468669
2026-05-17 5.911737 26.737999 68.167742 139.515444 246.260980 389.471546 586.296849
2026-05-24 5.236891 25.780817 67.919239 141.589133 252.811770 402.911257 610.078278
2026-05-31 4.320298 23.958254 65.944315 140.819470 255.197708 410.729649 626.555927
2026-06-07 3.804493 23.133938 65.757466 142.870516 261.659273 424.056374 650.265408